Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.193549 0.218257 0.244339 0.273865 0.306305 0.340799 0.380195
2025-06-08 0.159273 0.192378 0.229282 0.273275 0.324080 0.380700 0.448353
2025-06-15 0.138303 0.177252 0.222740 0.279360 0.347485 0.426337 0.523993
2025-06-22 0.119362 0.161577 0.213019 0.279584 0.362633 0.461978 0.588864
2025-06-29 0.104178 0.148370 0.204368 0.279423 0.376142 0.495250 0.651516
2025-07-06 0.091822 0.137158 0.196736 0.279206 0.388643 0.526963 0.712801
2025-07-13 0.082811 0.129279 0.192415 0.282404 0.404993 0.563546 0.781062
2025-07-20 0.076605 0.124525 0.191641 0.289851 0.426798 0.607555 0.860096
2025-07-27 0.069675 0.117914 0.187534 0.292060 0.441145 0.641794 0.927044
2025-08-03 0.064712 0.113679 0.186328 0.297984 0.460518 0.683115 1.004494
2025-08-10 0.060885 0.110769 0.186707 0.305969 0.482846 0.728956 1.089280
2025-08-17 0.055154 0.104214 0.180991 0.304372 0.490995 0.755013 1.147215
2025-08-24 0.049986 0.098235 0.175920 0.303721 0.500916 0.784577 1.212113
2025-08-31 0.045304 0.092589 0.170896 0.302713 0.510073 0.813189 1.276442
2025-09-07 0.042554 0.090044 0.170667 0.309131 0.530628 0.858918 1.366653
2025-09-14 0.038928 0.085521 0.166751 0.309260 0.541289 0.890206 1.436578
2025-09-21 0.035612 0.081210 0.162823 0.309020 0.551171 0.920439 1.505608
2025-09-28 0.032623 0.077199 0.159072 0.308749 0.560817 0.950416 1.574890
2025-10-05 0.030462 0.074597 0.157608 0.312205 0.576504 0.989986 1.659549
2025-10-12 0.029114 0.073516 0.158813 0.320288 0.600010 1.042273 1.764834
2025-10-19 0.027131 0.070879 0.156899 0.322682 0.614014 1.079930 1.848459
2025-10-26 0.025799 0.069504 0.157261 0.329114 0.634980 1.129107 1.951063
2025-11-02 0.024813 0.068795 0.158838 0.337784 0.660007 1.185377 2.066021